Tag Archives: John McCain
According to Daily Intel, as well as our very own Emily Ernst, beloved Senator/technological maverick John McCain has started his very own Twitter account. Apparently, the Senator himself is behind this effort, perhaps in an attempt to get a little bit more life blood pumping within is Blackberry fingers. This should be disheartening to Democrats everywhere – why is the supposed party of youth and… competency still lacking so far behind in the war for complete Twitter domination… tweetination? Tweet Congress notes that seven of the top ten most active Congressional twitterers (read 70% people!) are Republicans, and statistics show that John McCain is raking up followers at the same rate Palin rakes up moose meet for chili. (What?) Maybe the surplus of Republican twitter accounts can be explained by the fact that they are damn entertaining. Some of my favorite soundbytes (tweetbytes) from McCain include “YEs!! I am twittering on my blackberry but not without a little help!”, “I appreciate Senator Byrd speaking in favor of my Constitutional point of order” (so precious) as well as the fact that a) he seems to feel a that the governing rules of capitalization and punctuation only apply from time to time, and b) he has created himself a David Letterman (Tweeterman) type persona by listing what he calls the top ten “porkiest” projects everyday. At least now I know that if I ever feel un-text loved and uninformed about what’s happening to the hep-cats of the G.O.P. darling John is only a tweet away.
So Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight has mapped out the most likely electoral map scenarios for a McCain victory.Â The whole post should be very interesting to anyone, whether you’re A) Extremely worried and convinced that the Democrats will manage snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, or B) Wondering why McCain hasn’t already conceded, or anywhere in between.
(DISCLAIMER: When I say “most likely”, it should be understood that this is a relative term.Â By Silver’s calculations, ANY McCain win is an extreme long-shot.Â He currently gives him a 3.7% (UPDATE: 1.9%) chance.)
This first map is apparently by far the most likely scenario in which McCain wins. (Occurring 169 times out of 10,000 simulations)
If this map looks familiar, that’s because it’s basically the same as 2004, except we pick up New Mexico and Iowa.Â The pickup of 12 electoral votes makes it closer, but we still lose by 11 (as opposed to 35).
This next map seems to be the one McCain’s campaign has been working toward, with all their efforts in Pennsylvania.Â Apparently, it is roughly tied with a couple others (around 40 occurrences in 10,000 simulations) as the second most likely.
This would leave us with a painful, painful McCain victory, 270-268, and would probably lead to a pronounced rise in alcohol-related deaths among Democrats across the country.Â It would also cause me to avoid traveling to the state of Ohio ever again, even if it means going through Canada or Indiana on my way to, say, Washington D.C.Â Maybe I’ll just fly a lot more.
But take heart.Â Silver ends his analysis with this:
Also, there are some states that truly do appear to be “must-wins” for McCain. In each and every one of the 624 victory scenarios that the simulation found for him this afternoon, McCain won Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Indiana and Montana. He also picked up Ohio in 621 out of the 624 simulations, and North Carolina in 622 out of 624. If McCain drops any of those states, it’s pretty much over.
So if they call Florida, North Carolina, or Ohio for Obama early on, we can probably bust out the bubbly.Â But you already knew that.
Today our Glorious and Wonderful Vice President Richard Cheney endorsed Senator McCain for President. Our victorious leader was in his home state today, Wyoming, hitting the stump for McCain when he cast his blessing.
Seriously, why did the McCain campaign not lock Cheney away in his undisclosed location until Election Day? Cheney, even more than Bush, represents the failed ideology of the Bush Administration. His actions as a powerful Vice President shaped every part of the Administration governing philosophy and policy. Fail.
Obama’s Response = Hilarious
I’d like to congratulate Senator McCain on this endorsement because he really earned it. That endorsement didn’t come easy. Senator McCain had to vote 90 percent of the time with George Bush and Dick Cheney to get it. He served as Washington’s biggest cheerleader for going to war in Iraq, and supports economic policies that are no different from the last eight years. So Senator McCain worked hard to get Dick Cheney’s support.
While I’m working on my witty political banter, I thought I’d leave you with this:
Sarah Palin has accused Barack Obama of being friends with a former PLO spokesperson.Â Although the PLO is now a mainstream party, especially when compared extremists like Hamas (or Likud), Obama’s freind worked for the PLO in the 70s and 80s when they were unabashidly a terrorist organization.Â Except they’re not friends.Â And he never worked for the PLO.
I’m watching a McCain rally on MSNBC. He’s talking about Joe the Plumber again. (Btw, should “plumber” be capitalized?) I don’t know why he keeps bringing this guy up. All the focus groups last night – Fox News included – said they got sick of hearing about Joe P. after about the 15th time McAnecdote mentioned him.
Honest to god. Does McAngryOldMan realize that the election is 19 days away and he’s about infinity behind Obama? Every time I see McStumpSpeech address a TV screen and not say something new and game-changing, I shake my head in wonder. Why does he continue with the same old lines that have literally not helped him at all? Every minute he spends not trying to shake things up is a minute in which Obama moves closer to victory. I understand that he doesn’t want to seem like he’s trying some sort of desperate stunt. But doesn’t McClueless get it? If he doesn’t do something, he’s going to lose! You know, as in “not win?”
On the other side, Obama looked relaxed and cool at his rally today, which was brought to me by the good people at CNN. One of Obama’s line that I found particularly memorable was “I like pie.” A shining example of the dessert our nation needs.
Seriously, though, I noticed one clear contrast between the Obama rally and the McAwkward speeches. Anybody who has watched a McRabbleRouser rally know that the boo-to-cheer ratio is about 34,532,542,346 to 13. There’s a freakin’ lot of booing, and McCreepySmile does nothing to discourage it. During the Obama speech, however, Barack quieted the crowd when they began to boo his McPonant. He told his supporters, “Don’t boo now – vote now!” It was a completely different atmoshpere than the McCain rally.
It’s Saturday Night! Enjoy!
Not so happy anymore…
From the Detroit Free Press…
Battleground Michigan may not be such a battleground after all, as the state’s voters increasingly see Barack Obama as the presidential candidate with the better answers for the nation’s economic ills.
Doubling his lead of a month ago, the Democratic presidential nominee now has an edge over his Republican rival John McCain, leading him 51%-38%, a Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll shows.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The big lead is the result of widespread support among women and independents and a wide enthusiasm gap over his rival.
Both the Detroit News and Free Press polls have shown a huge leap in the polls for Barack Obama in Michigan. This may be evidence that they meltdown on Wall Street is hurting John McCain. This is what happens when you and your party are seen as key advocates for Wall Street, not Main Street.