Tag Archives: Thirty
The Alaska Board of Elections is now reporting that Democrat Mark Begich is leading Republican Ted Stevens for the Alaskan Senate seat by 814 votes!! As of Nov. 5, Begich was down by more that 3,000 votes, but has since caught up and surpassed Stevens due to the large number of absentee ballots cast, a majority of which in favor of Begich. AND! it only gets better from here! FiveThirtyEight‘sÂ Sean Quinn writes:
All I can say is, “YAY!! Thank God!!” Now it looks like Sarah Palin can’t sneak her way into the Senate!
Even if Obama loses all of these battleground states (assuming he wins those on the safer side of this list), he will still win 286-252. More good news for Obama! Granted, a LOT can happen in 19 days, and we can not let up an inch, but at this point it’s looking pretty good.
Obama, up by 2 points in North Dakota? NORTH DAKOTA? And this coming one month after he PULLED OUT OF THE STATE?!?
Now, with that being said, FiveThirtyEight doesn’t buy that ND will actually go to Obama, or that it’s a swing state at all.
Obama’s up 2, but our model isn’t buying that it’s a swing state.
We can debate the meaning of a swing state all day long, and we’ll just have to wait for a few more polls to come out before classifying it as a swing state.
You’ll notice, though, that this is the only poll from North Dakota in a month. Just a slight observation you should note.